Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.064365 0.076319 0.089728 0.105863 0.124729 0.146071 0.172023
2025-04-06 0.044633 0.059551 0.078199 0.103131 0.135500 0.175997 0.230398
2025-04-13 0.032939 0.048278 0.069167 0.099504 0.142218 0.199962 0.283643
2025-04-20 0.026915 0.042647 0.065643 0.101381 0.155135 0.232483 0.351597
2025-04-27 0.022359 0.037943 0.062176 0.102126 0.165738 0.262313 0.418956
2025-05-04 0.018884 0.034097 0.059109 0.102580 0.175404 0.291338 0.488181
2025-05-11 0.016358 0.031264 0.057050 0.104068 0.186530 0.323531 0.565860
2025-05-18 0.014655 0.029512 0.056441 0.107739 0.201533 0.363482 0.660694
2025-05-25 0.012292 0.026072 0.052226 0.104245 0.203318 0.380943 0.718822
2025-06-01 0.010757 0.023945 0.050067 0.104132 0.211040 0.409425 0.799338
2025-06-08 0.009334 0.021772 0.047450 0.102673 0.215872 0.432965 0.873154
2025-06-15 0.008507 0.020719 0.046909 0.105245 0.228822 0.473020 0.982368
2025-06-22 0.007457 0.019003 0.044764 0.104279 0.234717 0.500565 1.071435
2025-06-29 0.006438 0.017166 0.042068 0.101731 0.236976 0.521165 1.149161
2025-07-06 0.005507 0.015358 0.039136 0.098181 0.236527 0.536034 1.216625
2025-07-13 0.005033 0.014616 0.038583 0.100042 0.248381 0.578203 1.346580
2025-07-20 0.004553 0.013767 0.037626 0.100779 0.257704 0.615837 1.470686
2025-07-27 0.004118 0.012951 0.036618 0.101227 0.266375 0.652914 1.597483
2025-08-03 0.003778 0.012341 0.036047 0.102697 0.277709 0.697280 1.745631
2025-08-10 0.003559 0.012049 0.036283 0.106322 0.294906 0.757209 1.936421
2025-08-17 0.003102 0.010925 0.034028 0.102871 0.293439 0.772219 2.021467
2025-08-24 0.002813 0.010279 0.033030 0.102761 0.300761 0.809535 2.164863
2025-08-31 0.002516 0.009542 0.031642 0.101319 0.304283 0.837678 2.288304